April 2020
Wine and Roses:
Saturday, April 18, 1:30pm US/Eastern (UTC-04:00)
Wine and Roses:
Safe or Carcinogenic?
Evaluating News Media Coverage of Health Risk
NCASVideo YouTube Channel:
For more information, call the NCAS Skeptic Line at 240-670-NCAS (6227).
ncas@ncas.org
We've all heard reports that red wine is protective against cancer, while other studies find it to be carcinogenic. Similarly, some say herbicides such as glyphosate are safe to use (but not on your rose bush!) while others say it’s carcinogenic. Which is true? There are many opportunities for scientific information to become biased on the pathway from scientists to the public. In this talk, Dr. Bodnar will describe how to effectively talk about risk and how to identify reliable sources.
ncas@ncas.org
We've all heard reports that red wine is protective against cancer, while other studies find it to be carcinogenic. Similarly, some say herbicides such as glyphosate are safe to use (but not on your rose bush!) while others say it’s carcinogenic. Which is true? There are many opportunities for scientific information to become biased on the pathway from scientists to the public. In this talk, Dr. Bodnar will describe how to effectively talk about risk and how to identify reliable sources.
How to Watch and Participate in the First Online Event in the 33-Year History of NCAS:
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Prez Sez
By Scott Snell
I hope all of you are well, in both health and livelihood. These are uncharted waters that our civilization has been drawn into. Each nation is trying to steer a safe course between a modern-day Scylla and Charybdis of deadly pandemic and economic ruin.
. Along with your question, please post what city or town you're in.
Prez Sez
By Scott Snell
I hope all of you are well, in both health and livelihood. These are uncharted waters that our civilization has been drawn into. Each nation is trying to steer a safe course between a modern-day Scylla and Charybdis of deadly pandemic and economic ruin.
I've found some solace in watching how well our nations and communities quickly learned what they needed to do, and accomplished it. No one prepared us for this in our childhood education, or even in fiction. If there are one or more science fiction books or movies about a pandemic, and what steps have to be taken in response, none of them became widely known in our culture.
Yet within a matter of days, people learned new habits, changed their way of life, and made huge sacrifices to protect the most vulnerable among us. Some nations and communities did better or worse at it, but the graphs of infections and deaths are showing the response of ordinary people generally following scientifically based guidelines. As of today, April 15, New York and New Jersey appear to have moved past the worst of the onslaught. Unfortunately the National Capital Region is still worsening, but will likely get through its peak in the near future.
Scientists are steering us away from "Scylla." I'm hard-pressed to think of a time when scientists were so prominently and continually at the center of international attention. Meteorologists have a lot of on-screen time when a particular hurricane or other storm is heading for populated areas, but that only lasts for a few days. The COVID crisis has brought Doctors Birx and Fauci into the public spotlight, day after day, for over a month, and that's likely to continue for weeks or even longer.
The details of what went wrong and what went right are being (or better yet, in my opinion, will be) sorted out. But I offer here a very quick and definitive few milestones for anyone to calibrate what is being hashed out in the news media and blogs:
World Health Organization. (2020, January 14). Preliminary investigations conducted by the Chinese authorities have found no clear evidence of human-to-human transmission of the novel #coronavirus...
United Nations. (2020, January 30). NEWS: #Coronavirus declared a public health emergency of international concern by @WHO. Global outbreak includes 98 cases in 18 countries, outside China.
NBC Today. (2020, February 29). Dr. Fauci: "No, right now, at this moment, there is no need to change anything that you're doing on a day by day basis. Right now, the risk is still low, but this could change. I've said that, many times, even on this program. You've got to watch out, because although the risk is low now, you don't need to change anything you're doing. When you start to see community spread, this could change and force you to become much more attentive to doing things that would protect you from spread."
US House of Representatives, Committee on Oversight and Reform hearing, "Coronavirus Preparedness and Response." (2020, March 11, 10:47 AM ET). Dr. Fauci: "We would recommend that there not be large crowds."
World Health Organization. (2020, March 11, 12:26 PM ET). We have therefore made the assessment that #COVID19 can be characterized as a pandemic.
March NCAS Lecture
The March 15 NCAS lecture of biologist Adam Ruben (co-host of the "Outrageous Acts of Science" series on Science Channel) was canceled due to the health risks of public gatherings. We hope to reschedule it later this year.
The March 15 NCAS lecture of biologist Adam Ruben (co-host of the "Outrageous Acts of Science" series on Science Channel) was canceled due to the health risks of public gatherings. We hope to reschedule it later this year.
Crowdsourcing Request for NCAS Members
What can ordinary skeptics (if there is such a thing!) do to help our nation and communities, as skeptics? Some of our members may be career health scientists, or know someone who is. But the general skill set of a skeptic is probably good enough to help a little...particularly the ability to identify contradictory information and the ability to ask good questions.
What can ordinary skeptics (if there is such a thing!) do to help our nation and communities, as skeptics? Some of our members may be career health scientists, or know someone who is. But the general skill set of a skeptic is probably good enough to help a little...particularly the ability to identify contradictory information and the ability to ask good questions.
Visit the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) web page for COVID-19: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-nCoV/index.html
Do you see any information that is contradicted by other information at the site? Do you see any information that isn't clearly presented?
I assume people at CDC are carefully reviewing all new content, but they might make mistakes.
Also visit the FAQs page: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/faq.html
Do you have a suggestion for a new FAQ?
If you find anything in any of these categories, email it for peer review to ncas@ncas.org. Please include your name, and relevant expertise, if any. Our board of directors will review your finding(s) and will contact you for final submission to the CDC, with proper attribution, of course.
NCAS Board Elections: Electronic Voting
The upcoming 2020 NCAS election will use electronic voting. When voting begins, each member will receive an email from NCAS (via surveymonkey.com) containing a unique web address usable as a single-cast secret ballot. (NCAS will receive information indicating who voted, but nothing to indicate who cast each ballot.)
Note that voters will not be at risk for spamming as a result of participating...SurveyMonkey has a zero-tolerance spam policy:
https://www.surveymonkey.com/mp/legal/anti-spam-policy/
The upcoming 2020 NCAS election will use electronic voting. When voting begins, each member will receive an email from NCAS (via surveymonkey.com) containing a unique web address usable as a single-cast secret ballot. (NCAS will receive information indicating who voted, but nothing to indicate who cast each ballot.)
Note that voters will not be at risk for spamming as a result of participating...SurveyMonkey has a zero-tolerance spam policy:
https://www.surveymonkey.com/mp/legal/anti-spam-policy/
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Thanks again to our members who have chosen to support NCAS!
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