March 2024
              
                
YouTube Live Event with Q and A
                
                  
                
                
                
                
              
              
               
This month, NCAS presents a different kind of event. We invite you to watch The UFO Movie THEY Don't Want You to See BEFORE March 9, 2024 (see below for how to watch). Then join us on Saturday, March 9 at 1:30 PM ET for an online Q & A with Executive Producer / Writer / Presenter Brian Dunning.
                
                
                
                
                
                
                
Science writer Brian Dunning is a documentary filmmaker and the host of Skeptoid, the award-winning weekly science podcast. Since 2006, Skeptoid has been revealing the true science behind popular misinformation and urban legends. Dunning's recent movies include the educational film Principles of Curiosity (2017) and the feature documentary Science Friction (2022) revealing the deceptive editing that sometimes happens to science experts on mainstream television programs. He is a member of the National Association of Science Writers.
                
                  
                  
                  
                  
                  To watch the film for free (with ads), use this link:
                  
                  
                  
                
              
              https://www.ncas.org/2024/02/a-discussion-of-ufo-movie-they-dont.html
            
          NCAS
                      Public Lecture Series
              A Discussion of "The UFO Movie THEY Don't Want You to See"
YouTube Live Event with Q and A
Brian Dunning
                    Executive Producer / Writer / Presenter, The UFO
                      Movie THEY Don't Want You to See
                  
Saturday, March 9, 1:30pm US/Eastern (UTC-05:00)
NCASVideo
                      YouTube Channel:
                
                This month, NCAS presents a different kind of event. We invite you to watch The UFO Movie THEY Don't Want You to See BEFORE March 9, 2024 (see below for how to watch). Then join us on Saturday, March 9 at 1:30 PM ET for an online Q & A with Executive Producer / Writer / Presenter Brian Dunning.
From the film's
                  website:
                  
"In an age when misinformation, alternative facts, and conspiracy theories have become mainstream, UFOs have risen to become one of the most-talked about pop culture phenomena. With all of this noise, how can we expect anyone to know how much of this is true? What is in our skies? What do we know, and how do we know it? And most importantly: Are we being visited?
                "In an age when misinformation, alternative facts, and conspiracy theories have become mainstream, UFOs have risen to become one of the most-talked about pop culture phenomena. With all of this noise, how can we expect anyone to know how much of this is true? What is in our skies? What do we know, and how do we know it? And most importantly: Are we being visited?
Science does have
                  most of these answers, and we're working on answering
                  the rest of them. Featuring experts in cosmology,
                  physics, and image analysis, The UFO Movie THEY
                    Don't Want You to See will lay out for you
                  exactly what we know and how we know it."
                
                Science writer Brian Dunning is a documentary filmmaker and the host of Skeptoid, the award-winning weekly science podcast. Since 2006, Skeptoid has been revealing the true science behind popular misinformation and urban legends. Dunning's recent movies include the educational film Principles of Curiosity (2017) and the feature documentary Science Friction (2022) revealing the deceptive editing that sometimes happens to science experts on mainstream television programs. He is a member of the National Association of Science Writers.
Full information about this documentary,
                    including streaming services that carry it, can be
                    found at https://theufo.movie
                  How
                    to Watch and Participate in this Online
                      Discussion Event: 
              1) Use a supported
                browser... https://www.youtube.com/supported_browsers
              
              2) Use the link https://youtu.be/1SKKYgY9P88
              3) The live stream
                begins shortly before 1:30pm
                    US/Eastern (UTC-05:00) on Saturday, March 9, 2024.
              4) To post questions,
                you must be signed in to a Google account.
              
              5) Post your questions
                in the chat window to the right of the video player when
                the live stream is active.
              6) Click into where it says "Say something..." and begin
              typing (up to 200 characters). Then click the send icon Along with your question, please post what city or
                town you're in.
            How to Watch and Participate in an Online
                    Viewing Event:
              
              
              
                
                
              
              
              
            Of course, you can
                  watch the movie on your own.  Or, if you prefer a
                  shared experience, there will be an online viewing
                    event on Wednesday, March 6 at 7:30 PM ET.
                
                1) Check your email
                inbox (the same one that's receiving this Shadow of
                  a Doubt) at 6:45 PM ET on Wednesday, March 6.
              
              2) Click on the "Watch2Gether"
              link in the email.  Your browser will display our "room"
              to watch the movie on YouTube together.3) Start typing in the
                chat window at the right of the screen.  The
                  documentary will start at 7:30 PM sharp, but
                anyone who wants to hang out there before showtime is
                welcome.  At 7 PM, the main feature will be preceded
                  by a short "documentary" (one of the 1970s fake
                  documentaries that we can laugh at).
              
              4) Webcams and microphones won't be active, just the chat
              window.  Get ready to type!Eldritch Investigations and a Discount for NCAS
              
              
              
For the discount, use code NCAS when subscribing here:
              
https://rorschachtheatre.com/23-24-psychogeographies-project/
              
Sounds a bit like an expanded version of our NCAS Skeptours!
            "Cults and cryptids
                collide when a curious Washingtonian investigates local
                unexplained phenomena.  Explore the lure of the unknown
                and its entanglement with DC history in this
                multi-chapter adventure across the city."
                
At the start of the pandemic, the local Rorschach Theatre company created a unique theatrical experience that extended over the course of 9-10 months. It was originally a way for the show to go on when the pandemic shut down stage performances, but it has been so successful that they've continued into their 4th year with an all-new story in December 2023.
                
Rorschach often incorporates elements of fantasy, horror, and/or supernatural. This coming season the Eldritch Investigations project involves themes particularly close to NCAS. The company has extended a 20% discount to NCAS members.
                
Subscribers receive a monthly box or envelope with maps, directions to locales around DC, and other artifacts such as postcards, telegrams, and various trinkets that help unfold a story over the course of 9-10 months. You investigate these locations at your own pace, on your own time. They also provide online videos for those who can't visit in person.
              At the start of the pandemic, the local Rorschach Theatre company created a unique theatrical experience that extended over the course of 9-10 months. It was originally a way for the show to go on when the pandemic shut down stage performances, but it has been so successful that they've continued into their 4th year with an all-new story in December 2023.
Rorschach often incorporates elements of fantasy, horror, and/or supernatural. This coming season the Eldritch Investigations project involves themes particularly close to NCAS. The company has extended a 20% discount to NCAS members.
Subscribers receive a monthly box or envelope with maps, directions to locales around DC, and other artifacts such as postcards, telegrams, and various trinkets that help unfold a story over the course of 9-10 months. You investigate these locations at your own pace, on your own time. They also provide online videos for those who can't visit in person.
The adventure has
                already begun, so new subscribers will receive all
                previous chapters in the first shipment.
              
              For the discount, use code NCAS when subscribing here:
https://rorschachtheatre.com/23-24-psychogeographies-project/
Sounds a bit like an expanded version of our NCAS Skeptours!
April NCAS Event
              Edward Calabrese,
                Professor of Environmental Health Sciences at the
                University of Massachusetts Amherst School of Public
                Health and Health Science, will discuss the "linear
                no-threshold" (LNT) model, an ionizing radiation
                dose-response model used in radiation protection.  How
                accurate is the model for estimating cancer risk at low
                doses?  Saturday, April 13 at 1:30 PM ET, live on the
                NCASVideo YouTube channel.
              Ahead of his
                presentation, Professor Calabrese recommends watching
                videos describing the historical foundations of cancer
                risk assessment, hosted on the Health Physics Society
                YouTube page: https://www.youtube.com/@healthphysicssociety5037/videos
              Note: the 22 episodes
                total several hours, but can be expedited by adjusting
                the playback speed to 1.25x, 1.5x, 1.75x, or 2x.
              
            March PhACT Lecture
Our skeptical neighbors to the north, the Philadelphia Association for Critical Thinking (PhACT), will host their next online event on Saturday, March 16 at 2 PM ET. Paleontologist Ted Daeschler, PhD will present "Explorations into the Age of Fishes and the Origin of Limbed Vertebrates," describing three decades of paleontological exploration and research on Late Devonian (385-365 million years ago) fossils from Pennsylvania, the high Canadian Arctic and Antarctica. Event details at http://www.phact.org/meetings.php.
            Our skeptical neighbors to the north, the Philadelphia Association for Critical Thinking (PhACT), will host their next online event on Saturday, March 16 at 2 PM ET. Paleontologist Ted Daeschler, PhD will present "Explorations into the Age of Fishes and the Origin of Limbed Vertebrates," describing three decades of paleontological exploration and research on Late Devonian (385-365 million years ago) fossils from Pennsylvania, the high Canadian Arctic and Antarctica. Event details at http://www.phact.org/meetings.php.
March Bay Area
                  Skeptics Lecture
                
               The [San Francisco] Bay Area Skeptics will host
                  their next online event on Thursday, March 14 at 9 PM
                  ET.  Paul A. Offit, MD, Director of the
                  Vaccine Education Center at the Children's Hospital of
                  Philadelphia as well as the Maurice R. Hilleman
                  Professor of Vaccinology and a Professor of Pediatrics
                  at the Perelman School of Medicine at the University
                  of Pennsylvania, will present "COVID Myths: And the
                  Hits Just Keep on Comin'."  The continued onslaught of
                  myths and misinformation surrounding COVID and COVID
                  vaccines has been unrelenting and contributes to the
                  low uptake of this vaccine. Dr. Offit will try to
                  debunk some of these myths and put them in context. 
                  This will be livestreamed on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bXDorVfW9Kk
                  
              Lessons Learned from the COVID-19 Pandemic Response
Dr. Offit recently discussed his new book Tell Me When It's Over (National Geographic, 2024) with Michael Shermer. In his book, Dr. Offit presents a "lessons learned" perspective on the response to the COVID-19 pandemic, based on his experience as a member of the FDA Vaccine Advisory Committee and a former member of the Advisory Committee for Immunization Practices to the CDC. His discussion with Dr. Shermer is available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=by67kv1_VnA
Later, Dr. Offit also responded to the following two questions/comments from NCAS President Scott Snell:
So much of the mask debate was the claim that one cannot adequately protect oneself by wearing a mask; others must also wear masks to protect oneself.
Was that true after
                  N95 masks became generally available to the public?  I
                  assume there was excellent data about COVID history of
                  health care workers (presumably using the best masks
                  and trained to use them properly).  The workers had to
                  take care of very sick/contagious unmasked patients
                  indoors for long periods of time.  How sick did the
                  workers get?
                
              If (as I assume)
                  they did not often get sick, did that suggest that all
                  of us "civilians" could essentially imitate the
                  success of health care workers?  Moreover, this
                  could've been an excellent "panpartisan" meme.  Nurses
                  and many other health care workers were seen (and
                  still are) as heroes.  "Let's imitate the health care
                  heroes, wear your mask to protect yourself!  Here's
                  how to wear your mask correctly [etc]."  This would, I
                  think, largely avoid the "you've got to wear a mask to
                  protect me" meme that caused so much (unnecessary?)
                  controversy.  What are your thoughts about this?
                
In conversation (paraphrased and printed here with his permission), Dr. Offit responded that this might've been a worthwhile approach to depolarizing the masking issue. Unfortunately the N95 masks (generally upper 90s percent effective at blocking virus-laden droplets), KN95 (lower 90s percent effective), and surgical masks (80s percent effective) were not available to the public in the early months of the pandemic. But once these better masks were available, anyone with proper training could adequately protect themselves without insisting that others wear masks too.
                
Regarding achieving COVID herd immunity via vaccination, what was the percentage required? If it was, say, 80%, was one societal possibility to offer a "lottery" for anyone who didn't want the vaccine? That way, perhaps many if not all objectors could be exempted from vaccination, if they won the lottery. (The number of lottery victors could be as many as 20% of the community in my example.)
                
Dr. Offit's response, described in more detail in his book, is that the vaccination mandates caused a backlash that probably reduced COVID vaccination rates and now have spilled over to a push back against all vaccine mandates, including school vaccine mandates. Rather than using mandates (or the suggested exemption lottery), educating the public is the best way to maximize vaccination rates.
                
              
              In conversation (paraphrased and printed here with his permission), Dr. Offit responded that this might've been a worthwhile approach to depolarizing the masking issue. Unfortunately the N95 masks (generally upper 90s percent effective at blocking virus-laden droplets), KN95 (lower 90s percent effective), and surgical masks (80s percent effective) were not available to the public in the early months of the pandemic. But once these better masks were available, anyone with proper training could adequately protect themselves without insisting that others wear masks too.
Regarding achieving COVID herd immunity via vaccination, what was the percentage required? If it was, say, 80%, was one societal possibility to offer a "lottery" for anyone who didn't want the vaccine? That way, perhaps many if not all objectors could be exempted from vaccination, if they won the lottery. (The number of lottery victors could be as many as 20% of the community in my example.)
Dr. Offit's response, described in more detail in his book, is that the vaccination mandates caused a backlash that probably reduced COVID vaccination rates and now have spilled over to a push back against all vaccine mandates, including school vaccine mandates. Rather than using mandates (or the suggested exemption lottery), educating the public is the best way to maximize vaccination rates.
Videos from CSICon
                  2023
              Center for Inquiry has
                recently posted the Richard Dawkins lecture, "Science,
                the Poetry of Reality, Jewel in Humanity’s Crown" on its
                YouTube site: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ubsmu2jN-4E
              Writing in the November
                2023 Shadow of a Doubt, NCAS Board Member Curtis
                Haymore called it "really wonderful, deeply thoughtful,
                filled with his well-crafted language."
              Also recently added was
                a conversation between Dawkins and Bill Nye, who
                received the 2023 Richard Dawkins Award for proclaiming
                "the values of secularism and rationalism, upholding
                scientific truth wherever it may lead."  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5I3dbf6N7FE
              
              "Spring Forward"
              On Sunday, March 10,
                most of the United States and Canada will make the
                customary change from Standard Time to Daylight Saving
                Time.  Three weeks later, most of Europe will follow
                suit.
              Back and forth we go. 
                Are you tired (literally tired) of switching your clocks
                one hour back every Fall and one hour forward every
                Spring? Why do we go to all the trouble?  Do we have any
                good alternatives?  What's been tried before, or tried
                elsewhere?  See "The Times They Are(n't) a-Changin'" on
                the NCASVideo YouTube site: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4J6QEYSxMjs
              
            NCAS Membership 
              
              
            At its September 20, 2023 meeting, the NCAS Board of
                Directors approved a change in membership
                classifications, effective October 1.  Formerly in two
                classifications, Single and Double, membership now
                comprises one or two individuals at the same home
                address.  In addition to simplifying transactions for
                the NCAS treasurer, this represents a per-person
                reduction in membership costs.  The former Single
                membership cost now covers up to two people.  Consider
                adding a 2nd person in your household to your NCAS
                membership at no extra cost!  Both will be able to vote
                separately in the annual NCAS board of directors
                election.  Send an email to ncas@ncas.org
                to add a 2nd person to your membership.  We hope to add
                members, and of course a student or other young person
                is always welcome for the future of skepticism.  Also
                see https://www.ncas.org/p/join-ncas.html.
              
             Some members and
            contacts of NCAS receive a postal notification of this and
            every new monthly Shadow of a Doubt.  The Shadow
              Light postcard announces the monthly lecture and
            highlights of the electronic Shadow of a Doubt,
            which is available online at ncas.org/p/shadow.html. 
            NCAS thereby reduces Shadow production and postage
            costs.  To further reduce costs, members and contacts can
            opt out of postal notification altogether, while continuing
            to receive Shadow of a Doubt via e-mail.  To opt
            out, send us an e-mail at ncas@ncas.org.
            
            
Time to Renew?
Be sure to check your renewal date above your postal address on the Shadow Light postcard. Send any queries to ncas@ncas.org. Use the online membership form to renew.
https://www.ncas.org/p/shadow.html
Time to Renew?
Be sure to check your renewal date above your postal address on the Shadow Light postcard. Send any queries to ncas@ncas.org. Use the online membership form to renew.
https://www.ncas.org/p/shadow.html

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